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- Article name
- ANALYTICAL RULES DEVELOPMENT OF DIAGNOSING AND FORECASTING METHOD OF SYSTEM OF BLOCKS CONDITION ON THE BASIS OF MARKOV CHAINS WITH DISCRETE TIME
- Authors
- Ryzhakov V. V., , rvv@pgta.ru, The Penza State Technological Academy, Penza, Russia
Ryzhakov M. V., , mryzhakov@applmech.mipt.ru, The Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology (State University), Moscow region, Dolgoprudny, Russia
- Keywords
- forecasting method / Markov chain / probability transition matrix
- Year
- 2013 Issue 3 Pages 24 - 28
- Code EDN
- Code DOI
- Abstract
- In paper analytical procedures of a forecasting and diagnosing method of systems reliability parameters on the basis of Markov chains are stated at use of exponential probability distribution law of separate blocks non-failure operation and the theorem of dominated convergence for enumerable homogeneous Markov chains. Analytical rules are illustrated by results of numerical experiment.
- Text
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